by The PGA Tour season continues on Thursday, May 25 after the second major championship of the season. The 2023 Charles Schwab Challenge returns to Fort Worth for Texas’ second tournament in the last three weeks. Sam Burns is the defending champion after defeating Scottie Scheffler, the current No. 1 player in the world, in a playoff. Burns shot 5-under 65 on the final day to force the playoff. Does Burns have more magic at the Colonial Country Club this week to win the 2023 Charles Schwab Challenge?
Scheffler is the 4-1 favorite according to the latest 2023 Charles Schwab Challenge odds from Caesars Sportsbook. Jordan Spieth (12-1), Viktor Hovland (14-1), Tony Finau (14-1) and Collin Morikawa (16-1) are next in the PGA odds line, while Burns is 22-1 to repeat. Before securing your 2023 Charles Schwab Challenge picks, be sure to view the golf predictions and projected leaderboard from SportsLine’s proven computer model.
Our proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has been hot since the PGA Tour resumed in June 2020. In fact, the model has increased over $8,700 in its best bets since the restart, hitting tournament after tournament.
McClure’s model predicted that Jon Rahm would finish at the top of the leaderboard in both the 2023 Sentry Tournament of Champions and The American Express. At the 2023 Masters, the model took the second major win of Rahm’s career over the weekend. Rahm was two strokes off the lead going into the third round, but the template still projected him as the winner. It was the model’s second consecutive Masters victory, which also secured Scottie Scheffler’s victory in 2022.
Furthermore, the model included Nick Hardy and Davis Riley in her best bets to win the Zurich Classic 2023. That bet reached +4,500 and for the entire tournament, McClure’s best bets returned over $1,100. McClure’s best bets also included Jason Day’s outright (17-1) victory at the 2023 AT&T Byron Nelson, although he has not won a PGA Tour event since 2018.
This same model also hit nine major majors going into the weekend. Anyone who has followed has seen massive returns.
Now that the field for the 2023 Charles Schwab Challenge is set, SportsLine has simulated the tournament 10,000 times and the results have been staggering. Head over to SportsLine now to see the projected leaderboard.
Charles Schwab Challenge Key Predictions for 2023
One big surprise the model is waiting for at the 2023 Charles Schwab Challenge: Hovland, a five-time PGA Tour winner and a top favorite, stumbles this week and barely makes the top 10. Hovland is coming off an impressive showing at the PGA Championship, securing a T-2 at Oak Hill. Hovland has now finished T-7 or better in each of its last two major league outings.
However, Hovland have struggled a lot in the week after the Championships this season. Following his T-7 finish at the Masters, Hovland recorded a T-59 finish at RBC Heritage a week later. He also finished T-31 or lower in three of his last five starts on the PGA Tour. The 25-year-old is one of the best ball forwards on the tour, but ranks 114th in strikes gained: shot (-0.074) and 145th in total shots (263.9). He is not a strong pick to win it all and there are much better values in the Charles Schwab Challenge 2023 field.
Another surprise: Max Homa, a 22-1 shooter, makes a strong run for the title. Homa has a much greater chance of winning everything than his odds imply, so he is a target for anyone looking for a big payday. The 32-year-old finished tied for 55th in the PGA Championship, but finished T-8 in the Wells Fargo Championship before that. He has four top-10 finishes from his last eight tournaments.
Homa has won two of 15 events with seven top-10 finishes this season, including winning the Farmers Insurance Open in January. He is eighth in strokes earned (1,817) on the PGA Tour with top 20 marks for strokes earned from tee to green, green approach and placement. His putter has been crucial to his success, as he ranks fifth in strokes earned: placement (. 709), fourth in placing average, and sixth in total strokes. If Homa can start strong off the tee and continue his elite shot lately, he brings value at 22-1. See who else to pick here.
How to make choices for the 2023 Charles Schwab Challenge
The model also targets four other golfers with Charles Schwab Challenge 2023 odds greater than 20-1 who will make surprising runs. Anyone who supports these longshots can hit the nail on the head. You can only see the Charles Schwab Challenge model picks here.
So who will win the 2023 Charles Schwab Challenge and which longshots will surprise the golfing world? Check out the 2023 Charles Schwab Challenge odds below, and visit SportsLine to see the projected leaderboard for the 2023 Charles Schwab Challenge, all from the model that hit nine golf majors, including this year’s Masters.
Charles Schwab Challenge Odds 2023, field
See all the Charles Schwab Challenge 2023 picks, best bets and predictions here.
Scottie Scheffler 4-1
Jordan Spieth 12-1
Tony Finau 14-1
Victor Hovland 14-1
Collin Morikawa 16-1
Sungjae Im 18-1
Max Homa 22-1
Sam Burns 22-1
Rickie Fowler 30-1
Justin Rose 30-1
Tommy Fleetwood 33-1
Russell Henley 35-1
Chris Kirk 45-1
Cami Davis 45-1
Denny McCarthy 50-1
Si Woo Kim 50-1
Min Woo Lee 60-1
Emiliano Grillo 60-1
Brian Harman 60-1
Kurt Kitayama 65-1
Tom Hoge 70-1
Stephan Jaeger 75-1
Brendon Todd 75-1
Ryan Fox 80-1
Harris English 80-1
Byeong Hun An 80-1
Taylor Moore 80-1
Lucas Herbert 80-1
KH Lee 90-1
Patrick Rodgers 90-1
Thomas Detry 90-1
Christiaan Bezuidenhout 90-1
Davis Riley 100-1
Joseph Bramlett 100-1
Billy Horschel 100-1
JJ Spaun 100-1
Maverick McNealy 100-1
Post JT 100-1
Alex Smalley 100-1
Beau Hossler 100-1
Justin Suh 100-1
Eric Cole 100-1
Sam Stevens 125-1
Will Gordon 125-1
Nick Taylor 125-1
Hayden Buckley 125-1
SH Kim 150-1
Andre Putnam 150-1
Ben Griffin 150-1
Ryan Palmer 150-1
Sepp Straka 150-1
Scott Stallings 150-1
Alex Noren 150-1
Akshay Bhatia 175-1
Joel Dahmen 175-1
Ben Martin 175-1
Adam Schenk 175-1
Matt Wallace 175-1
Robby Shelton 200-1
Garrick Higo 200-1
Austin Eckroat 200-1
Cameron Champion 200-1
Vincent Norrman 200-1
Nate Lashley 200-1
